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Dodger Baseball

Why The Long Faces?

I was not able to watch any of the three games.  I guess I can be thankful for that.  But after reading some of the comments on this site, and a myriad of other blogs, one might get the impression that the Dodgers are fighting CWS for the worst team in MLB.

There is no easy way around it.  No way to sugar coat it.  The Dodgers are playing s*** baseball right now.  My wife says it is the James Outman effect.  The Dodgers are 4-5 since James was optioned.  Of course that is not a reality, but don’t try to tell my wife that.

I am also not one who is going to push the panic button.  Every team is going to go through these streaks every year.  It is not fun for the fans to watch it unfold.  And it sure as hell is not fun for the players/coaches/management.

Reading some of the comments throughout the Dodgers blogosphere, I am wondering how long some of them have been fans.  There is no way they would have lived through 2017.  From August 25 through September 11, the Dodgers had a 5 game losing streak, won a game, and then lost 11 in a row.  They were 1-16.  The lead in the NL West went from 21.0 games up to 9.0 games up with 18 games to play.  The Dodgers did win 12 of the final 18.  I remember the number of fans who quit on the team during that stretch, only to jump back onto the bus when they were waltzing through the playoffs, until Houston’s trash cans intervened.

Okay, this is 2024, not 2017. Defend 2024. What about the 16 games before the last 16? The Dodgers were 14-2.  We did not hear from the doomsdayers during that stretch.

For the last 16 games (May 10 – May 26):

  • 29/133 WRISP – .218
  • 56 Runs Scored
  • 61 Runs Against
  • -5 Run Differential
  • 14 HR (.875 per game)

For the prior 16 games (April 21 – May 8):

  • 45/137 WRISP – .329
  • 100 Runs Scored
  • 31 Runs Against
  • +69 Run Differential
  • 26 HR (1.375 per game)

Which is the anomaly?  April 21 – May 8 or May 10 – May 26?  With this team, I like to think the outlier is the last 16 games (May10 – May 26).

Below is the individual metrics for the players for the last 16 games.

 

 

The Dodgers are not the only team to struggle over the last 16 games.  The consensus NL co-favorite, Atlanta Braves, are 8-8 in the last 16 games.  They have lost their best pitcher for the year, Spencer Strider, and have now lost their best player for the year, Ronald Acuña Jr.  Some of the fans on this site and other LAD sites, would stop watching the games if the Dodgers lost Tyler Glasnow and Shohei Ohtani or Mookie Betts.

During this frigid hitting run, are the starting pitchers trying to be too perfect knowing they are not going to get many runs?  It is easy to say the pitchers should not worry about that, and just go out and pitch their game.  And yet they seem to be pitching tight of late.  The game is played on the field by actual players, and not in a computer algorithm.

I do not know when this current skid will turn around, but I do know that it will.  I do not know who will be on the roster after August 1, but I do think it will be different than what there is now. Better???  They have to play the games.  I do not know how many games the team will win, but I do think they are the best team in the NL West, and will probably get a bye in the playoffs.

Doc said that management was going to give Gavin Lux 150 PA before they judge him.  He is now at 151 PA, and is batting .206/.258/.284/.542.  But he is the one player who has improved over these last 16 games compared to YTD totals.  His OPS is also 6th best over those last 16 games.  More importantly, what are the options?  Right now, Miggy Ro.  The Dodgers are committed to Mookie being SS at least up to the trade deadline.  Thus, I do not see any change from the current platoon.  Lux has not proven he is an everyday player, but he is still performing enough to be a platoon player.  There are not many SS/2B who will be available at the deadline, and to speculate now would not be worth the effort.  But if Bo Bichette is available, AF has to consider it.

Not that it matters much, but IMO, Mookie can be a GG 2B, but he is struggling (his opinion) at SS. As the season moves on, do the Dodgers take the strain from playing SS away from him?  He basically ran out of gas last September, and playing 2B (and only 2B) was supposed to help that.

Andy Pages, Miguel Vargas, and James Outman have not played as well as the Dodgers had hoped.  I know some out there are going to quit on them.  I will not be in that group.

BTW, OKC hitting coach, Emmanuel Burris, immediately started working with Outman.  He worked with him to shorten his swing, concentrate going up the middle, and to all fields.  He started out slow, but two nights ago, he had the game tying hit into LF, the next night he hit a 414’ HR to right center at 104.6 MPH.

 

That is the swing that James had when he was playing well last year.

And on Sunday’s game, James went 3-4, including a single to LF, and bunt single, and a single to RF.

Since being optioned, in his 6 games (27 PA), James is hitting .333/.556/.556/1.112, 8 BB, and 9 K.

Just like with 2B/SS, I have no idea what OF may be available at the deadline.  Will Taylor Ward be available?

The Dodgers will not be looking for a SP, but they could look at relievers not named Mason Miller.  Sorry…not going to happen.  It has already been reported that Oakland might consider it, but only with a HUGE overpay.  Most speculate that Baltimore is the only team with their prospects that might entice Oakland.  IMO, Oakland will hold onto Miller this year.

In summary, yes the Dodgers are putrid right now.  But it will not stay that way.  I like the Dodgers chances more than Atlanta’s right now.  I know it is fashionable to dump on the team as they play as they are playing.  Venting about the frustrations are expected.  I am very good at venting.  The Dodgers do frustrate.  Doesn’t every sports team?  But when you go so far as to say that this team cannot win the WS, you have quit on the team, after 1/3 of the season.

 

 

 

Jeff Dominique

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SandyAmoros

Maybe Emmanuel Burris should be the hitting coach in the majors. I have been a Dodger fan since they were in Brooklyn seen all their championships. Friedmans philosphy is flawed they are a 1 trick pony homer or bust it always shows up in playoffs.

Jeff I appreciate the work you do always seems unbiased. God Bless our troops and fallen heros enjoy this Memorial Day.\

Badger

I think it’s true they cannot win the World Series playing like this, but the question is will they play like this in October. They did last year, but that was last year.

Looking at that Last 16 table it’s the last 7 names that give me pause. What to do about that? Beats me. Can’t replace all of them. It’s possible a few could get hot and turn it around, but do I expect them to? Not really. Lux and Heyward are starters so it’s them i hope will improve the bottom of the lineup blight. Kiké is a valuable utility guy, Taylor used to be that but is a shell of what he was, Pages and Outman have become disappointments, Rojas and Barnes are what they are, backups at important positions. So my guess is Muncy, Lux and Heyward. The bench as it exists now is Mendozian.

So where is a late season spark likely to come from? The top of the lineup is the only logical answer to that. Will it be enough?

tedraymond

There is no reason for panic. Frustration? Yes! Right now the entertainment factor with Dodger baseball is close to unwatchable. But, as Jeff mentioned, we’ve seen it before and we’ll see it again and again. Baseball is hard. It’s when it is hard for the entire lineup at the same time then we have what we’re seeing right now with the 2024 Dodgers. But, it will change.

It’s times like this that I pay special attention to the young prospects who might be on the team. Last year we had the up and down season with James Outman. There was the injury marred start of the season for Miguel Vargas. And, the emergence of several pitchers.

This year, after ending 2023 strong, we’ve seen the complete failure of Outman and his return to OKC. Then Andy Pages was called up and started off nicely, but has hit a rough patch along with the rest of the team. Will the Dodgers give the James Outman path for the remainder of the season? I hope so. He’s talented and appears to be coachable.

Miguel Vargas was recently called up to sit on the bench. Awesome! With the current injuries and slumping players why not give him a chance to succeed. If he did show some improvement then he could be a valuable player for the Dodgers or a trade piece. I don’t understand the FO strategy of bringing him up to have him not play.

It’s a long season. The West division is not very good right now. There is no chance that the Dodgers will not get into the playoffs. And, we have no idea how the team will perform in the postseason. Lately, I check in to a Dodger game and if it’s entertaining I’ll stick around. If not, I don’ stick around long. The games where early in the game they score several runs in one inning and then go silent for the rest of the way are some of the worst to sit through. I keep hoping to see more action, but it rarely happens. That’s baseball.

With the almost impossible chance of the Dodgers not making the postseason the regular season watching the Dodgers takes up less and less of my time. But, come the playoffs I’ll watch every pitch!

To all of those who contribute to this site who have served in the military, have a memorable Memorial Day. We appreciate your service.

Carry on

Last edited 1 year ago by tedraymond
Bklyn2LA57

God Bless all those who have given their lives so that we may live in freedom in the greatest country on earth.

As for the Dodgers, I read a comment on another blog about Vargas maybe not playing yet because Van Scoyoc wanted to work with him first. Curious. It seems that after players struggle in LA get sent down to OKC they get straightened out by hitting coach Manny Burriss. Look at how well Vargas, Pages, and now Outman hit when they’re there. When they come back to LA they struggle again. Could it be time to get rid of Van Scoyoc and promote Burriss?

Therealten

Thanks to all our servicemen and women today. I don’t think anyone has quit on the Dodgers. I watched the year the lead got down to 9 games. I was dismayed at the total arrogance at the time. Experimenting, practicing at the mlb level with absolutely no urgency as they often do. I know you have to rest guys but as many have said it is a hard game. You cannot just turn momentum on and off.

my problem right now is not with Doc. I just don’t think the roster is World Series caliber. You have Barnes, Rojas, kike, heyward,who just can’t hit. I didn’t include Taylor or lux because I believe lux can be a 9 hole hitter. Taylor could come around but doesn’t fit with a roster including Muncy, Teo, and to a lesser degree Ohtani. Kkkk.. Heyway not as much k as the rest, kike should never face a rh pitcher. As constructed this lineup needs someone to put the ball in play and that is not Taylor, pages, outman, kike unless u want to get rid of Muncy or teo. I have ad nauseam suggested bichette and Jansen but I realize it takes 2 to tango. I have been looking at rosters. Marte would be a huge risk but his salary and Taylor’s are close. He is a scary thought but could get hot n would b available.

Bluto

Jeff,

Anyway you would do a writeup of the 2021 draft and where they are/how they are progressing?

Casparius, Heubeck, Nastrini and company?

That’s still one of my favorite drafts of the Friedman regime. It was bonkers!

Singing the Blue

RIP Bill Walton.

I know his political views turned off many people.
I know his announcing bothered the hell out of many people.

But I think the world of basketball was richer for having had him here.

Oldbear48

No game today, re-scheduled as a Double-header tomorrow. Glasnow and Stone will pitch with Paxton going on Wednesday night. I am not panicking at all. Disappointed? Some, but I have seen this dog and pony show before. Braves losing Acuna is huge, since they already lost their best pitcher, Strider. Riley has played little in the last 10 days, and they are adjusting their roster quite often. The Phillies are the biggest threat to LA returning to the series, not the Braves. Suarez has given them a very good top three starters. Their bullpen is also pretty good. The lowest average in their starting lineup is Castellanos at .202. But he still has 6 homers and 22 driven in. Their backup SS, Sosa, is hitting over .300 replacing Turner, who is on the 10-day IL. They are for real, and seemingly on a mission to return to the series and finish what they could not do against the Astros in 22.

Sam Oyed

Concerning ABS

https://flip.it/__68_z

Last edited 1 year ago by Sam Oyed
Bumsrap

From The Athletic

…even though Bill Walton was one of the most unique men to ever live. Walton was a 6-foot-11 redhead, curiosity seeker, Grateful Dead fan and TV analyst, who just happened to be one of the greatest basketball players to ever live.
But upon his death Monday, the tributes were all the same because the thread of Walton’s life was his tie-dyed passion for people. At times, he might have seemed as if he lived on another planet, but he wanted you and everybody else to join him on it because it was a place where love and dreams come true.

Oldbear48

Best news I have heard all week. Angel Hernandez and MLB have reached an agreement, and he is retiring from baseball on Tuesday. Long regarded one of the worst umpires in the majors, he filed a discrimination suit against MLB in 2017. He last worked a game on May 9th, the White Sox and Guardians, and has not returned since. He was replaced on his crew by Jacob Metz. He lost both his discrimination suit in 21 and his appeal last year. When arguing the case, MLB actually cited several specific instances where it believed Hernandez failed at his job and missed calls on the field in key moments. His suit was based on what he believed was discrimination in post season assignments. Hernandez is Cuban. He last worked a World Series in 2005, and a league championship in 2016. He missed all but 10 games last season due to a lingering back issue. In those 10 games according to Umpiring Monitor, he missed an incredible 161 calls. I doubt anyone will cry about his leaving.

Duke Not Snider

Boston is reportedly going to deal Kenley. Does anybody want a reunion?
No doubt that Mason Miller would require an overpay because (a) he’s an exceptional talent and (b) there are still several years of team control on his contract.
I think there is also no doubt that the Athletics will be dealing him at some point–maybe this year, maybe next.
When he enters arbitration, the As won’t want to pay a guy who frankly isn’t that valuable to a team out of contention. Premium closers have great value for contenders, not second-division teams.
Whichever team eventually acquires Miller will plan to use him in October.
Let’s say that Miller winds up with Yankees, and Mookie and Shohei are due up with the game on the line….

Oldbear48

Just saw a poster on another site who offered what I think is the worst trade idea I have seen in a long time. Dodgers send Knack, Outman, Lux, Vargas and Cartaya, to the Jays for Kiermaier, Varsho, Turner and Bichette. Huh???

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